I recently wrote looking at the outcome of deaths in January compared with the SAGE modelling before Christmas. I said it would be clearer when more data was available from the ONS, so have updated the blog with this. The official data shows that the reality was the peak in Covid-19 deaths was 93% lower …
This week the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) reaffirmed that Covid-19 is very low risk to children aged 5 to 11. It would take four million doses of a vaccine to prevent one admission to intensive care. So with Covid at such low risk, is there any benefit to vaccination? Vaccination would only …
4 million doses in children needed to prevent 1 icu admission Read More »
Each day we get told across many of the prominent news channels of the number of patients with Covid-19 in hospital. I have seen many journalists broadcasting from critical care units highlighting the NHS struggles, but how has the total number of patients this winter different from previous winters? Looking at the data, this winter …
Fewer patients in critical care this winter than pre-pandemic Read More »
A GP claimed that Covid is the cause of at least 133 deaths in children, with many sharing this on Social Media. The blog was updated and confirmed as misleading following a Full Fact check of it. But when looking into the official numbers it would appeal the medic is misleading the public on child …
In recent weeks I have explained that since Omicron hit the UK we have seen fewer children overall in hospital.. With two weeks more data, how has the situation changed with the Omicron variant causing significant numbers of cases? Still fewer children in pediatric beds than a month ago Throughout the winter months, we get …
Continue with fewer children in hospital since Omicron Read More »
Back in September, SAGE warned of around 3,000 hospitalisations per day if the Government did not introduce Plan B in England. The Government ignored this and admissions never rose above 900 per day. As the Omicron wave hit the UK, the Government introduced Plan B measures on December 15th. SAGE modellers then warned of up …
SAGE wrong again – reality sees deaths 90% lower than their recent forecast Read More »
When announcing new restrictions in Wales from Boxing Day, Mark Drakeford misled the public when claiming the new Omicron variant was “probably that it’s just as severe as any other form would be”. There was clear evidence from other countries this was not the case, but this did not stop the First Minister from making …
Drakeford wrong – no clear evidence restrictions led to better outcomes than England Read More »
Evidence indicates that Omicron is less likely to result in an admission to a hospital. Last week I wrote that Covid-19 was not leading to a rise in children in hospital. With two weeks more data, how has the situation changed with the Omicron variant causing significant numbers of cases? Fewer children in pediatric beds …
Fewer children in hospital through the Omicron wave Read More »
The Omicron Covid-19 variant is leading to record numbers of reported infections across many countries, but evidence shows the variant is less likely to result in an admission to a hospital. However, within England, there have been various media reports of many admissions to hospitals for children with Covid. So what does the data show …
Child hospital patients – Covid-19 is not leading to a rise Read More »
Boris Johnson has just announced no new restrictions this side of Christmas but it was only a year ago we were heading into the festive period with further restrictions and several months of lockdown ahead. There was some optimism as the first Covid-19 vaccines were administered. We had media headlines that ministers had pinpointed 15 …
